Daniel Nichanian

Daniel Nichanian

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Daniel Nichanian was born in Paris before he moved to New York with his parents. Daniel follows French politics as obsessively as he does American news -- though he attempts to keep his disheartened rants about the state of the French Left to a minimum at his blog(s). He blogs about the 2008 elections at Campaign Diaries.

Blog Entries by Daniel Nichanian

McCain Gains Nationally, Leads In Florida; Indiana Even

1 Comments | Posted August 20, 2008 | 09:12 AM (EST)


**Updated with new Indiana poll **

It’s a good thing for Democrats that their convention is just around the corner and that they will soon regain control of the race with Obama’s vice-presidential pick. While none of these most recent polls are particularly alarming -- Obama is ahead in both...

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Polls: McCain Leads In Colorado, Ties In Ohio

27 Comments | Posted August 18, 2008 | 10:15 AM (EST)


Only two presidential polls were released over the week-end, but they are both important in what is becoming a presidential roller-coaster, much like the 2004 election (on this day four years ago, Electoral-Vote.com had John Kerry leading George Bush 327 to 211 EVs) -- quite a contrast with the...

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Poll: Obama Leads In Alaska; Campaign Red State Efforts Making Gains

16 Comments | Posted August 13, 2008 | 10:32 AM (EST)


Presidential polls have brought few surprises over the past few weeks, with surveys in most battleground states finding surprisingly steady results -- for instance yesterday when Obama was, as usual, narrowly ahead in Colorado, a bit more in Iowa and tied in Virginia. But today’s polling delivery does contain...

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Polls: Obama Leads In Key Battleground States

30 Comments | Posted August 12, 2008 | 08:40 AM (EST)


Yesterday's poll results all centered on crucial battleground states:

  • In Virginia (polling history), SUSA has the two candidates locked in a toss-up, with McCain at 48%...
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Obama Leading But Losing Ground In Latest Polls

30 Comments | Posted August 1, 2008 | 10:34 AM (EST)


The number of polls released yesterday was overwhelming. Quinnipiac showed tight races in Ohio and Florida, while Obama led in Pennsylvania and in CNN’s national poll. In other presidential polling, we got some more narrow results:


  • For the fourth consecutive day, Obama lost ground in Gallup’s...

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Gallup: McCain Breaks A Long Losing Streak, Barely

14 Comments | Posted July 29, 2008 | 09:16 AM (EST)


What a twist! Last week Obama dominated the news and jumped to his biggest lead ever in Gallup’s tracking poll over the weekend. He also leads in a number of national polls released Monday. So who would expect that yesterday McCain would break a long losing streak and...

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Fifty-State Strategy Gains But The Old Swing States Still Rate

12 Comments | Posted July 25, 2008 | 09:19 AM (EST)


Two election narratives have somewhat paradoxically collided these past two weeks. On the one hand, the shifts in partisan identification and Barack Obama’s determination to change the electoral map have significantly eroded John McCain’s base. On the other hand and despite Obama's shifted strategy, the fact is states...

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New Polls: An Unexpected Uptick for McCain

26 Comments | Posted July 23, 2008 | 08:54 AM (EST)


In a campaign season in which most polling news tends to bring good news to Democrats, yesterday's delivery is remarkably strong for the McCain campaign and should serve as a reminder that, however much red states like North Carolina and Alaska have shifted blue, Obama is very far from having...

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Weekend Roundup: Obama, Afghanistan and the Maliki Non-Denial

Posted July 21, 2008 | 09:27 AM (EST)


Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s appeared to be doing everything he could do this weekend to give his statements advocating a timetable for U.S. troop withdrawal maximum exposure. Just days before Obama’s trip to Iraq, Maliki must have known that the American press would be covering Iraq in...

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Obama: Operation Blue Mountains

Posted July 17, 2008 | 08:47 AM (EST)


It’s Wednesday, Project Runway has debuted and it is time for the fourth installment of the biweekly electoral college ratings. The ground continues to shift towards Barack Obama, as the focal point of the election moves further and further into red territory. Two weeks ago, it became...

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RNC Rolls Out First Contrast Ad

Posted July 7, 2008 | 09:39 AM (EST)


News broke Thursday that the RNC was preparing to air its first contrast ad of the general election in four battleground states: Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. The $3 million buy was a first jab at the Democratic Party, a signal of the buying power of the wealthy RNC....

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Democratic Voting Rolls Still Climbing In Pennsylvania

Posted June 30, 2008 | 08:47 AM (EST)


In the weeks leading up to the April 22nd closed primary in Pennsylvania, both Democratic campaigns undertook a massive registration campaign to get as many independents and registered Republicans to become registered Democrats in order to vote for their candidate. The numbers that came out of that effort confirmed...

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The New, More Blue, National Election Map

Posted June 25, 2008 | 12:07 PM (EST)


As both presidential campaigns have started airing their first ads and hiring staffers in various battlegrounds, the time has come for more definite decisions on what states ought to be contested and what constituencies ought to be targeted. Last week, Obama started to air his first general election...

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Obama Opting Out of Public Financing

Posted June 19, 2008 | 09:20 AM (EST)


In a video message released to his supporters on his website this morning, Barack Obama announced he is opting out of public financing. He will be the first candidate ever to rely on private donations to finance his general election campaign, a not unanticipated but controversial move that will...

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The New-Latest Swing-State Polls: Ohio A Toss Up; Florida To Obama

Posted June 19, 2008 | 09:07 AM (EST)


After weeks of not getting a single poll from OH and FL, here is the third Ohio poll in two days -- and a reminder of how much indecision we should expect in polls as long as the race remains a toss-up:

  • Unlike PPP's 11% lead...

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Polls Show Democrats Drawing Together Behind Obama

Posted June 18, 2008 | 01:53 PM (EST)


Quinnipiac released its eagerly anticipated set of swing state polls, and after weak showings by Obama in the waves of early April and mid-May, he has improved significantly this month in solidifying the support of registered Democrats. Though his lead in all three of these states fails...

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McCain Strategy Unveiled: Another New Map

Posted June 10, 2008 | 09:07 AM (EST)


Showcasing its general election strategy, the McCain campaign released data, slides and maps from a recent briefing. The strategy plan now runs basically as a PowerPoint presentation given by Campaign Manager Rick Davis at the McCain website. In addition to basically indicting the Bush Administration ("Today's political...

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TV Ads And Town Halls: McCain Campaign Revs Up

Posted June 9, 2008 | 09:02 AM (EST)


The primaries at last concluded, the Obama campaign is now mapping its strategy, staffing up, deciding on new hires and starting to build on the Obama organizations already in place in nearly every state-- a benefit of the prolonged contest against Hillary Clinton. Obama, of course, is also weighing whom...

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Clinton's Last Stand?

Posted June 3, 2008 | 01:17 PM (EST)


Welcome to the last presidential voting day until November 4th. The last presidential primary is upon us, and yet all eyes are fixed on New York, not on South Dakota and Montana. There have been no Zogby tracking polls, no wall-to-wall CNN coverage from Helena or Rapid City. Instead, every...

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Betting On Obama's New Map

Posted May 28, 2008 | 09:21 AM (EST)


Barack Obama is now traveling to general election battleground states with increasing frequency, and his exchanges with John McCain are starting to generate as much press as his disputes with Hillary Clinton. Today's topics included the RNC blasting Obama for falsely claiming that his uncle liberated Auschwitz and McCain's...

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